Saturday, October 25, 2025

With the debt ceiling suspended until 2027, the U.S. faces a shutdown without urgency, where Congress can play politics while the economy keeps running

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Government shutdowns happen when Congress fails to pass funding for federal agencies. That means many workers get furloughed, services stop, and contracts freeze. Money the government already owes, like Social Security, Medicare, and bond interest, still has to be paid. That is where the debt ceiling comes in.

The debt ceiling is a legal cap on how much the Treasury can borrow to meet obligations Congress has already approved. Once that limit is reached, the Treasury cannot issue new debt. Without extra borrowing, the government could technically default on its bills. That is what made past shutdowns dangerous. In 2013, 2018, and other years, shutdowns overlapped a debt ceiling deadline. Markets panicked, interest rates jumped, and both parties rushed a deal. The risk of default forced action.

Now it is different. The debt ceiling has been suspended until 2027. The Treasury can keep borrowing to pay all bills even if Congress does not pass new funding. Agencies can stay closed, employees can go unpaid, and the economy keeps moving without an immediate threat. Without that negative pressure, a shutdown could drag on far longer than people expect. The real test will come when the $41.1 trillion ceiling returns. Until then, the political theater continues, but the financial alarm bell remains silent.

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