Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Japan’s bond yields rise, pressuring USD/JPY and US bonds; Interest payments soar to 3.8% of GDP in Q1, highest since 1998

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Spiking Interest Payments on the Ballooning US Government Debt v. Tax Receipts and Inflation: Q1 Update

Interest payments jumped to 3.8% of GDP in Q1, the worst since 1998.

Not a good trend, especially as Yellen keeps issuing short-term Treasury bills.

These make up 22% of the $26.9T in marketable Treasury securities outstanding, at ~5% interest rate past yr but 3.23% average on the whole $34.6T fiscal deficit.

Bigger problem is it will keep rising as the current yields are working themselves into the debt pile.



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